Sunday, October 31, 2010

What Goes Up, Must Come Down?

University Affairs stated the following about university enrollment in an article this week, "The trend continues to be up, up and up for university enrolment in Canada. According to numbers compiled by the Association of Universities and Colleges of Canada, there are 32,000 more full-time students enrolled at Canadian universities this fall compared with the fall of 2009, an increase of 3.7 percent. Enrolment is up in every province."

One of Ryerson University's student newspaper's, The Eyeopener, published an article that paints a different picture about the future of post-secondary education (PSE) enrollment in Canada. The article quotes David Foot, author of Boom, Bust & Echo, who predicts that in three to four years enrollment across the PSE system will decline.

Foot would argue that demographics will play the biggest role in how the enrollment projections actually play out, but other factors will influence the numbers. Immigration rates, adults upgrading or taking additional courses and international student recruitment are some of the other factors that will impact enrollment in the years to come. For a more comprehensive look at enrollment projections you should check out this research paper from Statistics Canada: Postsecondary Enrolment Trends to 2031: Three Scenarios.

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